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Heigoa he Tokologa ne Matakutaku ki Ai?

Heigoa he Tokologa ne Matakutaku ki Ai?

Heigoa he Tokologa ne Matakutaku ki Ai?

“Nakai lata ia koe ke eke mo tagata talitonu ke he lotu ke manatu kua gutu atu a tautolu ke he matematekelea.”—STEPHEN O’LEARY, POROFESA LAGOMATAI, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. a

TALIA nakai e koe e talahauaga i luga? Ko e fufuta he tau vala tala nei to kitekite ke he falu kakano ne matakutaku e tau tagata ke he vahā anoiha. To fakakite foki e kakano kua maeke ia koe ke mauokafua to nakai fakaotioti e tau mena momoui he lalolagi. Kua fai kakano mitaki ke onoono fiafia ki mua, pete ka fakatupetupe e tau tala kua amanaki a koe ke totou.

Lahi agaia e fakamatakutaku he felakutaki niukilia. He 2007, ne hataki he Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: “Tali mai he fakatō e pomu atomiki fakamua i Hiroshima mo Nagasaki ne fehagai e lalolagi mo e tau fifiliaga hagahaga kelea lahi pihia.” Ko e tupetupe he ha? Ne talahau he Bulletin he 2007, kavi ke he 27,000 he tau kanavaakau niukilia ne toka agaia ti 2,000 kua “mau ke fakatoka he gahoa ni e tau minuti.” Pete foki ka tote e pasene he tau kanavaakau ia ka pāpā, ko e lauiaaga to matematekelea lahi mahaki!

Kua tote hifo nakai e fakamatakutaku he felakutaki niukilia tali mai he mogo ia? Lima e motu ne mua e loga he tau kanavaakau niukilia—ko Falani, Saina, Tau Kautu Kaufakalataha, Tau Faahi Kaufakalataha mo Rusia—“hane fakatūtū e tau fakaholoaga kanavaakau niukilia foou po ke fakailoa e foliaga ha lautolu ke taute pihia,” he talahau he SIPRI Yearbook 2009. b c Ka e talahau he tohi nei kua nakai ko e tau motu ia ni ne fai kanavaakau niukilia. Fuafua he tau tagata kumikumi, ko Initia, Pakisitani, mo Isaraela kua igatia mo e 60 ke he 80 e pomu niukilia. Talahau foki e lautolu, ke he lalolagi katoa, ko e 8,392 e kanavaakau niukilia he katoa ne fakatūtū mogonei, kua mautali ke fakatoka!

Liga tamai he hikiaga he matagi e matematekelea. “Ko etau hagahaga kelea ne tutupu mai he hikiaga he matagi,” he talahau he Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, “kua teitei hagahaga kelea ni ke tatai mo e tau kanavaakau niukilia.” Ko e tau saienetisi talahaua, tuga a Stephen Hawking, porofesa kua litaea he University of Cambridge, mo Sir Martin Rees, Master of Trinity College he University of Cambridge, ne fakataogo e tau hatakiaga malolō ia. Ne logona hifo e laua ko e fakaaoga hehē he tau matini ti pihia mo e tau gahua he tau tagata ke he takatakaiaga ka liga hiki tukulagi e moui he lalolagi po ke fakaoti foki e kaufakalatahaaga.

Tupetupe e totou miliona ha ko e talahauaga tuai he matematekelea. Lomi e tau kupu “end of the world” mo e tau “2012” ke he faahi kumikumi he Internet, to kitia e koe e totou teau he tau laupepa ne tohi tuahā ke he hoko mai he fakaotiaga he tau ia. Ko e ha ne pihia ai? Ko e kalena Maya i tuai, ne mailoga ko e “Long Count,” ne fuafua ke fakaoti he tau 2012. Tokologa ne matakutaku neke fakamailoga he mena nei e fakaotiaga he kaufakalatahaaga tuga ne iloa e tautolu.

Tokologa e tagata lotu ne talitonu na fakaako he Tohi Tapu to moumou e fua lalolagi. Logona hifo e lautolu to uta e tau tagata talitonu fakamooli oti ke he lagi, ka ko e tau tagata ne toe to toka ke matematekelea he lalolagi kua miha po ke tolo ke he afi.

Talahau mooli kia he Tohi Tapu to moumou po ke fakaotioti katoatoa e lalolagi? “Aua neke talia e tau agaga oti kana,” he hataki he aposetolo ko Ioane, “ka kia kamatamata e mutolu e tau agaga po ke mai he Atua a lautolu.” (1 Ioane 4:1) He nakai talia tuli e tau talahauaga he falu, ko e ha he hafagi e Tohi Tapu mo e kitia ni e koe e manatu i ai hagaao ke he fakaotiaga he lalolagi? To liga ofo a koe he mena ne fakaako i ai.

[Tau Matahui Tala]

a Mai he vala tala “Disasters Fuel Doomsday Predictions,” ne tohia he faahi Web MSNBC, Oketopa 19, 2005.

b SIPRI ko e Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

c Ko e hokotaki he SIPRI Yearbook 2009 ne tohia e Shannon N. Kile, ko e takitaki kumikumi mo e ulu e matagahua he tau kanavaakau niukilia he SIPRI Arms Control and Non-proliferation Programme; ko Vitaly Fedchenko, ko e tagata kumikumi he SIPRI Arms Control and Non-proliferation Programme; mo Hans M. Kristensen, ko e takitaki lahi he tau vala tala ke he matagahua niukilia he Federation of American Scientists.

[Fakatino Credit Lines he lau 4]

Mushroom cloud: U.S. National Archives photo; hurricane photos: WHO/League of Red Cross and U.S. National Archives photo